11
Lady In Paris
4yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 11 · OR 103
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲6
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.1 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: -6.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Del Mar | A Fresu | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | A Fresu | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2026-05-25 | Santa Anita | A Fresu | ? | 2nd | 8th | −5 |
| 2025-09-14 | Curragh | Shane Foley | BHA90 | 21th | 31th | −8 |
| 2025-07-20 | Curragh | Shane Foley | BHA83 | 1st | 10th | −8 |
| 2025-06-29 | Curragh | Shane Foley | BHA84 | 3rd | 12th | −8 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 4-11 · tight 55/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2024 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 18/05/2025 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 45% | -0.02 |
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |
| 20/07/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/09/2025 | 21st | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 67% | -0.25 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |