3

May Day Ready

4yo Filly · 9-0 · Draw 3 · OR 102

Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength41%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C1.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saratoga 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 98 · 1m1f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 98 par5/07C?OR 98C0 @ Saratoga 23/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 98 · 1m Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 98 parC1 @ Belmont At The Big A 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 96 · 1m Fm 122 · beat its mark20/09/2025 · OR 96 par20/09C1OR 96C0 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 101 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 101 parC1 @ Santa Anita 26/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 97 · 1m Fm 124 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 97 par26/04C1OR 97C0 @ Santa Anita 25/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 100 · 1m1f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/05/2026 · OR 100 parC5 @ Del Mar 25/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 102 · 1m Fm 125 · below its mark25/07/2026 · OR 102 par25/07C5OR 102C5 @ Kentucky Downs 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 2 · OR 101 · 1m110y 126 · beat its mark06/09/2026 · OR 101 parC0 @ Santa Anita 04/10/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 107 · 1m2f Fm 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/10/2026 · OR 107 par4/10C?OR 107projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-04Santa AnitaKazushi Kimura?7th7th+0
2026-09-06Kentucky DownsFlavien Prat?1st6th−4
2026-07-25Del MarKazushi Kimura?3rd8th−4
2026-05-25Santa AnitaA Fresu?7th7th+0
2026-04-26Santa AnitaA Fresu?2nd2nd0
2025-10-24KeenelandBen Curtis?7th7th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/0724/1025/074/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 2-10 · tight 47/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength52%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/07/20254th14/126%50%+0.24
23/08/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
20/09/20257th11/1094%14%-0.80
24/10/20257th12/137%45%+0.09
26/04/20262nd10/382%88%+0.05
25/05/20267th10/147%14%-0.33
25/07/20263rd10/382%67%-0.16
06/09/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05
04/10/20267th7/163%40%-0.23