Princesa Moche
7yo Mare · 9-0 · Draw 8 · OR 103
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kentucky Downs | Joe Bravo | ? | 7th | 7th | +0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | Joe Bravo | ? | 2nd | 2nd | +0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | Joe Bravo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Santa Anita | Emisael Jaramillo | ? | 6th | 11th | −4 |
| 2026-04-05 | Santa Anita | A Fresu | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Santa Anita | Mirco Demuro | ? | 5th | 5th | +0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 11/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 88% | +0.72 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 17/05/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 38% | -0.15 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 83% | +0.46 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |