6
Raw Ability
5yo Mare · 8-10 · Draw 6 · OR 106
Santa Anita · Race 8 - Goldikova Stakes - Grade 3 · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 9.0 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Joel Rosario | ? | 1st | 7th | −5 |
| 2026-08-22 | Del Mar | Umberto Rispoli | ? | 3rd | 9th | −5 |
| 2026-07-25 | Del Mar | J R Leparoux | ? | 4th | 9th | −4 |
| 2025-10-13 | Santa Anita | Kyle Frey | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2025-07-21 | Del Mar | Vincent Cheminaud | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-04-26 | Santa Anita | Hector Berrios | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 5-11 · tight 61/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength2%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06/2024 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 03/09/2024 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 17/03/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 26/04/2025 | 8th | 7/4 | 91% | 30% | -0.61 |
| 21/07/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 13/10/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 64% | +0.37 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 8/13 | 97% | 33% | -0.63 |
| 02/10/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |