8

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6yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 97

Santa Anita · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 21/01/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 99 · 6f Gd 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/01/2024 · OR 99 par21/01C6OR 99C6 @ Santa Anita 16/03/2024 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 104 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/03/2024 · OR 104 parC6 @ Santa Anita 28/04/2024 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 101 · 1m Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark28/04/2024 · OR 101 par28/04C6OR 101C5 @ Delaware Park 07/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 97 · 5f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/08/2024 · OR 97 parC8 @ Aqueduct 26/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 99 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark26/01/2025 · OR 99 par26/01C8OR 99C8 @ Santa Anita 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 91 · 5f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 91 parC7 @ Santa Anita 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 93 · 6f110y Fas 124 · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 93 par25/04C7OR 93C7 @ Santa Anita 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 96 parC8 @ Del Mar 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 101 · 6f 120 · below its mark18/07/2026 · OR 101 par18/07C8OR 101projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Del MarArmando Aguilar?4th5th−1
2026-06-12Santa AnitaArmando Ayuso?3rd3rd0
2026-04-25Santa AnitaKyle Frey?3rd3rd0
2026-03-13Santa AnitaArmando Aguilar?1st2nd−1
2025-01-26AqueductChristopher Elliott?3rd4th−1
2024-08-07Delaware ParkSamuel Jr Camacho?1st-1th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/017/0825/0418/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 72/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength50%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20241st10/382%100%+0.18
16/03/20244th7/282%40%-0.42
28/04/20248th33/10%22%+0.22
07/08/20241st6/492%100%+0.08
26/01/20253rd11/486%75%-0.11
13/03/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
25/04/20263rd8/158%71%+0.14
12/06/20263rd5/174%67%-0.07
18/07/20264th9/153%50%-0.03