Soi Ngern
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 7 · OR 93
Santa Anita · Race 1 - Starter Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-09-08 | Del Mar | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-22 | Santa Anita | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Santa Anita | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 56% | -0.30 |
| 14/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 17/04/2026 | 1st | 6/5 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/07/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/07/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 02/10/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |