2
Endless Smoke
2yo Filly · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 83
Santa Anita · Race 2 - Maiden Special Weight · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Santa Anita | Jose Valdivia Jr | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | Jose Valdivia Jr | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | Tiago Pereira | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Santa Anita | Tyler Baze | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 47/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +17.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 33% | -0.32 |
| 18/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 07/09/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 19/10/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 56% | +0.08 |