2
Angel's Ember
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 2 · OR 86
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Golden State Juvenile Stakes · 7f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-03 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | Juan Hernandez | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 3-3 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength70%
Delivery trend -5.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 03/10/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |