7
Cupid Cowboy
2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 7 · OR 80
Santa Anita · Race 3 - Golden State Juvenile Stakes · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Del Mar | Abel Lezcano | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | Abel Lezcano | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | Abel Lezcano | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-15 | Santa Anita | Abel Lezcano | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | Abel Lezcano | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-05-01 | Santa Anita | Armando Aguilar | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-6 · tight 53/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength73%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 15/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 18/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 16/08/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |