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3

Empire Of Ash

2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 3 · OR 78

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Golden State Juvenile Stakes · 7f

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Del Mar 16/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 6f Fas 12216/08C6C5 @ Del Mar 07/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 81 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 81 par7/09C5OR 81C6 @ Santa Anita 03/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR 72 · 6f Fas 122 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 72 par3/10C6OR 72projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Santa AnitaEdwin Maldonado?3rd5th−2
2026-09-07Del MarA Fresu?4th4th0
2026-08-16Del MarA Fresu?4th6th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/087/093/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 7-8 · tight 72/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength3%

Delivery trend -8.1% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/08/20264th8/158%67%+0.09
07/09/20264th8/158%50%-0.08
03/10/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07