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8

Fumano's Fire

2yo Colt · 8-10 · Draw 8 · OR 77

Santa Anita · Race 3 - Golden State Juvenile Stakes · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Santa Anita 01/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 4f110y Fas 1201/05C6C6 @ Santa Anita 15/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 74 · 4f110y Fas 120 · below its mark15/05/2026 · OR 74 par15/05C6OR 74C6 @ Santa Anita 15/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 68 · 5f Fas 120 · beat its mark15/06/2026 · OR 68 par15/06C6OR 68C6 @ Los Alamitos Racecourse 28/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 5f 122 · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 71 par28/06C6OR 71C5 @ Del Mar 08/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 77 · 5f110y Fas 120 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 77 par8/08C5OR 77C5 @ Del Mar 07/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 78 · 6f Fas 122 · below its mark07/09/2026 · OR 78 par7/09C5OR 78C5 @ Santa Anita 03/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 75 · 5f Fm 122 · beat its mark03/10/2026 · OR 75 par3/10C5OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-03Santa AnitaCristobal Herrera?2nd2nd0
2026-09-07Del MarCristobal Herrera?5th5th0
2026-08-08Del MarCristobal Herrera?4th4th0
2026-06-28Los Alamitos RacecourseCristobal Herrera?1st3rd−2
2026-06-15Santa AnitaCristobal Herrera?2nd4th−2
2026-05-15Santa AnitaTyler Baze?7th9th−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0528/063/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 62/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +15.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/05/20265th13/266%33%-0.32
15/05/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
15/06/20262nd80/10%86%+0.86
28/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
08/08/20264th40/10%50%+0.50
07/09/20265th25/10%33%+0.33
03/10/20262nd25/10%80%+0.80