Bello Rosso
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 2 · OR 75
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Santa Anita | Kyle Frey | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-08-15 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-07-26 | Del Mar | Kyle Frey | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-26 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Kyle Frey | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | Kazushi Kimura | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 10/10/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |