Chalky's Gold
3yo Colt · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 75
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
36%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Del Mar | Cesar Belmont | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | Charle Oliveros | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-05-07 | Thistledown | Charle Oliveros | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-04-08 | Mahoning Valley | Charle Oliveros | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +25.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 07/05/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 16/08/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |