Dr. Filkins
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 5 · OR 91
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
7/5
Win Prob
71%
Place Prob
57%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-26 | Santa Anita | Juan Hernandez | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Del Mar | Armando Ayuso | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | A Fresu | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Santa Anita | A Fresu | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-14 | Santa Anita | Kyle Frey | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 63% | -0.06 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 88% | +0.24 |
| 14/03/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 38% | -0.23 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 25% | -0.61 |
| 15/05/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 80% | +0.01 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 26/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |