Mordred's Revenge

3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 3 · OR 77

Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE

▬ NO MARK

Move▼3

Strength35%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-10-10	Santa Anita	Epifanio Garcia	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 50/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▲

Strength13%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
10/10/2026	7th	20/1	0%	25%	+0.25