6
Wasting Aces
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · Draw 6 · OR 61
Santa Anita · Race 4 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength30%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | Del Mar | Abel Lezcano | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Del Mar | Abel Lezcano | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Santa Anita | Welfin Orantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Santa Anita | Cesar Belmont | ? | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2026-03-15 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 4-10 · tight 57/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength0%
Delivery trend -1.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 09/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 15/02/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 15/03/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 86% | +0.70 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 20% | -0.69 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 13/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 03/09/2026 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 11% | -0.60 |