Joey Brackets

5yo Horse · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 76

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL

▼ OVER-MARKED

Move▬

Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C7.6

Today:

Class gap: -0.1

Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Jockey	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-20	Los Alamitos Racecourse	Ricardo Ramirez	?	4th	4th	0	6.0
2025-08-10	Del Mar	Leonel Camacho Flores	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2025-06-20	Los Alamitos Racecourse	Cristobal Herrera	?	6th	6th	0	4.0
2024-12-08	Golden State Racing	William Iii Antongeorgi	?	7th	5th	+2	4.8
2024-01-28	Golden Gate Fields	Cristobal Herrera	?	5th	6th	−1	3.8
2023-10-08	Fresno	Luis Aburto Jimenez	?	3rd	4th	−1	5.8

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 67/100

▬ OVER-DELIVERING

Trend▼

Strength6%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
17/09/2023	3rd	25/1	0%	67%	+0.67
08/10/2023	3rd	8/1	58%	67%	+0.09
28/01/2024	5th	9/1	53%	43%	-0.10
08/12/2024	7th	40/1	0%	0%	0.00
20/06/2025	6th	25/1	0%	17%	+0.17
10/08/2025	6th	33/1	0%	38%	+0.38
20/09/2026	4th	10/1	47%	57%	+0.10