1

Kahuna Magic

8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 92

Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength31%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Del Mar 31/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 77 · 6f110y Fas 124 · beat its mark31/10/2024 · OR 77 par31/10C8OR 77C7 @ Santa Anita 08/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 87 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark08/02/2025 · OR 87 parC7 @ Santa Anita 09/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 90 · 6f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/03/2025 · OR 90 par9/03C7OR 90C7 @ Santa Anita 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 91 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/09/2025 · OR 91 parC7 @ Santa Anita 19/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 93 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/01/2026 · OR 93 par19/01C7OR 93C7 @ Santa Anita 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 93 · 6f110y Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/04/2026 · OR 93 parC8 @ Santa Anita 14/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 96 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark14/06/2026 · OR 96 par14/06C8OR 96C8 @ Del Mar 30/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 95 · 6f Fas 120 · below its mark30/07/2026 · OR 95 parC8 @ Del Mar 27/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 98 par27/08C8OR 98projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Del MarAdrian Escobedo?8th8th0
2026-07-30Del MarCesar Belmont?7th7th0
2026-06-14Santa AnitaJoel Rosario?3rd3rd0
2026-04-25Santa AnitaMike Smith?6th5th+1
2026-01-19Santa AnitaUmberto Rispoli?5th4th+1
2025-09-27Santa AnitaUmberto Rispoli?2nd1st+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/1027/0914/0627/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 10-12 · tight 83/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -5.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/10/20241st9/276%100%+0.24
08/02/20253rd12/137%71%+0.35
09/03/20255th25/10%20%+0.20
27/09/20252nd10/147%86%+0.38
19/01/20265th12/137%0%-0.37
25/04/20266th25/10%29%+0.29
14/06/20263rd10/382%60%-0.22
30/07/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
27/08/20268th25/10%13%+0.13