
Kahuna Magic
8yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 1 · OR 92
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | Adrian Escobedo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Del Mar | Cesar Belmont | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Santa Anita | Joel Rosario | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Santa Anita | Mike Smith | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-01-19 | Santa Anita | Umberto Rispoli | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Santa Anita | Umberto Rispoli | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2024 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 08/02/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 09/03/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 19/01/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 14/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |