11
Ya'll Come
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 11 · OR 95
Santa Anita · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Santa Anita | Armando Ayuso | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Del Mar | Armando Ayuso | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Del Mar | Armando Ayuso | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Santa Anita | Alfredo Bautista | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Santa Anita | Tiago Pereira | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | Tiago Pereira | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 12-12 · tight 90/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/01/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 28/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 33% | -0.51 |
| 27/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/13 | 97% | 75% | -0.22 |
| 25/05/2026 | 4th | 11/10 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 02/10/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |