8
Wicked Spud
3yo Gelding · 8-11 · Draw 8 · OR 69
Santa Anita · Race 6 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | Santa Anita | Tyler Baze | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-05 | Del Mar | Armando Aguilar | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-08-20 | Del Mar | Armando Aguilar | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Del Mar | Armando Aguilar | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Los Alamitos Racecourse | Armando Aguilar | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Santa Anita | Tiago Pereira | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · tight 27/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 20/08/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 05/09/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 09/10/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |