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Book Of Life

6yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 2 · OR 54

Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y

#5

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a long a time without a win but has made the frame on 5 of his last 6 starts, most recently when a creditable fourth of 10 in handicap at Wolverhampton (8.6f, 11/1) 8 days ago. Player down in grade.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength50%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 57 · 1m142y Std 153 · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 57 par27/046OR 576 @ Wolverhampton 11/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 57 · 1m1f104y Std 133 · beat its mark11/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 56 · 1m1f35y Goo 139 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 56 par17/066OR 566 @ Carlisle 04/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 7f173y Goo 149 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Newcastle 25/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 55 · 1m5y Sta 135 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 55 par25/076OR 556 @ Wolverhampton 26/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 54 · 1m142y Std 132 · beat its mark26/08/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Newcastle 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 54 · 1m5y Std 135 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 54 par2/096OR 546 @ Musselburgh 12/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 56 · 1m2y Goo 136 · beat its mark12/09/2026 · OR 56 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 55 · 1m142y Std 130 · beat its mark23/10/2026 · OR 55 par23/106OR 55projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23WolverhamptonPaddy Bradley64th4th0
2026-09-12MusselburghEthan Tindall64th4th0
2026-09-02NewcastleJason Hart62nd2nd0
2026-08-26WolverhamptonDonagh Murphy63rd3rd0
2026-07-25NewcastleC Horgan67th7th0
2026-07-04CarlisleJoanna Mason62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/044/072/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 6-13 · tight 64/100
▬ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength36%

Delivery trend -1.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/04/20262nd8/158%90%+0.32
11/05/20264th13/266%70%+0.04
17/06/20265th12/137%20%-0.17
04/07/20262nd8/158%88%+0.30
25/07/20267th15/261%45%-0.15
26/08/20263rd4/179%82%+0.03
02/09/20262nd9/488%89%+0.01
12/09/20264th11/271%57%-0.14
23/10/20264th11/142%67%+0.25