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14

Far Ahead

4yo Gelding · 9-2 · Draw 6 · OR 48

Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y

#12

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Catterick maiden winner last spring. Tumbled in the weights and more positive signs when runner-up on his last 3 outings, most recently in a 9-runner handicap at Pontefract (1m, good to firm, 2/1) back in June. Has 124-day absence to overcome.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength36%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 10/01/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 70 · 1m5y Std 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark10/01/2026 · OR 70 par10/015OR 705 @ Southwell 17/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 65 · 1m13y Std 130 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark17/01/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Newcastle 31/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 60 · 1m5y Std 135 · below its mark31/01/2026 · OR 60 par31/016OR 606 @ Redcar 20/04/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 54 · 7f Goo 129 · below its mark20/04/2026 · OR 54 par6 @ Beverley 04/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 49 · 1m100y Goo 124 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 49 par4/056OR 496 @ Ripon 17/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 48 · 1m Goo 129 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Beverley 30/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 46 · 1m100y Goo 126 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 46 par30/056OR 466 @ Hamilton 17/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 47 · 1m1f35y Goo 130 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 47 · 1m6y Goo 132 · beat its mark29/06/2026 · OR 47 par29/066OR 47projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-29PontefractO J Orr62nd2nd0
2026-06-17HamiltonWarren Fentiman62nd2nd0
2026-05-30BeverleyShane Gray62nd2nd0
2026-05-17RiponO J Orr611th11th0
2026-05-04BeverleyShane Gray67th7th0
2026-04-20RedcarO J Orr614th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0120/0430/0529/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 2-14 · tight 34/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend +1.4% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/01/202611th40/10%0%0.00
17/01/202612th50/10%0%0.00
31/01/202612th66/10%0%0.00
20/04/202614th4/179%0%-0.79
04/05/20267th25/10%54%+0.54
17/05/202611th13/266%17%-0.49
30/05/20262nd10/147%90%+0.43
17/06/20262nd9/488%80%-0.08
29/06/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02