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2

Launceston

4yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 8 · OR 55

Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y

#9

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Stepped up with each run for this yard, off the mark in classified company at Ffos Las in August (1m). Resumed winning ways when just holding on in a tight finish in a 9-runner handicap at Brighton (1¼m, good, 4/1) 25 days ago and he's respected again after 2 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Wincanton 15/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m7f50y Sft 149 · HIGHER CLASS15/0146 @ Wolverhampton 02/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 51 · 1m1f104y Std 121 · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 51 par5 @ Hereford 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 78 · 2m3f147y Goo 142 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark12/05/2026 · OR 78 par12/055OR 786 @ Windsor 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 48 · 1m3f99y GF 128 · beat its mark01/06/2026 · OR 48 par6 @ Brighton 07/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 47 · 1m1f207y GF 135 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 47 par7/076OR 476 @ Lingfield 13/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 47 · 1m1y Std 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 47 par6 @ Ffos Las 28/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 46 · 1m GS 135 · beat its mark28/08/2026 · OR 46 par28/086OR 466 @ Bath 13/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 53 · 1m2f37y Gd 138 · beat its mark13/09/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Brighton 06/10/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 53 · 1m1f207y Goo 134 · beat its mark06/10/2026 · OR 53 par6/106OR 53projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-06BrightonCharlie Tucker61st1st0
2026-09-13BathMyla Coppins63rd3rd0
2026-08-28Ffos LasMyla Coppins61st1st0
2026-07-13LingfieldRossa Ryan64th4th0
2026-07-07BrightonWilliam Carson64th4th0
2026-06-01WindsorGeorge Bass67th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/011/0628/086/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1469% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 76/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/01/20269th125/10%27%+0.27
02/02/20269th125/10%0%0.00
12/05/20266th100/10%29%+0.29
01/06/20267th125/10%33%+0.33
07/07/20264th11/142%50%+0.08
13/07/20264th18/15%63%+0.57
28/08/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
13/09/20263rd9/276%82%+0.06
06/10/20261st4/179%100%+0.21