Mercurius Power
8yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 4 · OR 51
Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Southwell | Darragh Keenan | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Southwell | Lewis Edmunds | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Newcastle | Jack Dace | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Newcastle | Rhys Elliott | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Doncaster | Lewis Edmunds | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Newcastle | Lewis Edmunds | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 6th | 11/1 | 42% | 38% | -0.05 |
| 13/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 09/05/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/06/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 42% | -0.27 |
| 14/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 76% | +0.76 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 10/10/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |