10
Secret Road
8yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 9 · OR 50
Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 1) · 1m 13y
#10
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARK
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 9.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-17 | Southwell | Billy Garritty | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-10-02 | Newcastle | D Allan | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Catterick | D Allan | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Newcastle | Rhys Elliott | 6 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Lingfield | L Morris | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Lingfield | L Morris | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1415% of fieldRange 7-12 · tight 73/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength34%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/06/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 20/08/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 02/10/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 17/10/2026 | 7th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |