Cy Twombly
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · Draw 3 · OR 52
Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 13y
#13
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-10 | Southwell | Callum Hutchinson | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-09-29 | Wolverhampton | C Lee | 6 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-24 | Southwell | Callum Hutchinson | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-15 | Wolverhampton | Lewis Edmunds | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | Finlay Bassett | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-26 | Wolverhampton | Jack Doughty | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 13th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 21/07/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 26/08/2026 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 9% | -0.17 |
| 08/09/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/09/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 24/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 29/09/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 71% | +0.24 |
| 10/10/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 45% | +0.09 |