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8

Mythical Isle

4yo Gelding · 9-5 · Draw 8 · OR 51

Southwell · ARC All Weather Bonus Is Back Handicap (Div 2) · 1m 13y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Capitalised on the drop into classified company for the first time at Wolverhampton (7f) in June and has refound his form to finish placed over 8.5f there on his last 2 outings. Solid frame claims again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.1)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 09/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 52 · 6f20y Std 133 · beat its mark09/02/2026 · OR 52 par9/026OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 52 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 52 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 51 · 6f20y Std 126 · below its mark06/04/2026 · OR 51 par6/046OR 516 @ Wolverhampton 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 49 · 7f36y Std 135 · beat its mark02/06/2026 · OR 49 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 53 · 1m142y Std 136 · beat its mark06/07/2026 · OR 53 par6/076OR 536 @ Wolverhampton 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 53 · 7f36y Std 134 · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 53 par6 @ Wolverhampton 01/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 52 · 7f36y Std 127 · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 52 par1/096OR 526 @ Wolverhampton 29/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 50 · 1m142y Std 132 · beat its mark29/09/2026 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 23/10/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 51 · 1m142y Std 127 · beat its mark23/10/2026 · OR 51 par23/106OR 51projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-23WolverhamptonPaddy Bradley63rd3rd0
2026-09-29WolverhamptonPaddy Bradley62nd2nd0
2026-09-01WolverhamptonAshley Lewis66th6th0
2026-07-30WolverhamptonPaddy Bradley65th5th0
2026-07-06WolverhamptonAshley Lewis67th7th0
2026-06-02WolverhamptonPaddy Bradley61st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/022/061/0923/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1492% of fieldRange 1-9 · tight 59/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +5.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/02/20263rd10/147%71%+0.24
23/03/20264th6/168%63%-0.06
06/04/20269th9/153%0%-0.53
02/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
06/07/20267th6/168%50%-0.18
30/07/20265th16/116%56%+0.40
01/09/20266th13/266%38%-0.28
29/09/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
23/10/20263rd22/10%80%+0.80