Dandyman Dan
2yo Gelding · 9-9 · Draw 7 · OR 94
Southwell · All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 13y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Doncaster | K Stott | 1 | 6th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Ascot | J F Egan | 1 | 3rd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | J F Egan | 1 | 4th | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-06-05 | Epsom Downs | Saffie Osborne | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Sandown | Saffie Osborne | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-04-27 | Bath | P Cosgrave | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 05/06/2026 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 24/07/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |