My A'ali Baba
2yo Gelding · 8-6 · Draw 2 · OR 77
Southwell · All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 13y
#7
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-14 | Kempton | Finley Marsh | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-08-20 | York | Saffie Osborne | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-12 | Salisbury | Callum Shepherd | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2026-07-30 | Goodwood | Colin Keane | 2 | 11th | 10th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Sandown | Saffie Osborne | 2 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Goodwood | Saffie Osborne | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 30/07/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 41% | +0.41 |
| 12/08/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 14/10/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |