5
Talamon
2yo Colt · 8-8 · Draw 5 · OR 79
Southwell · All-Weather Championship Is Back Nursery (GBBPlus Race) · 1m 13y
#2
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#2
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today: 3
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Kempton | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Leicester | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-18 | Chepstow | Billy Loughnane | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · tight 65/100
▲ EDGING AHEAD
Trend▬
Strength84%
Delivery trend -1.6% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price, confirming the short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 50% | +0.08 |
| 08/09/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 30/09/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 89% | +0.05 |