1

Always Sunny

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 9

Southwell · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 13y

#3

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Promising second of 6 in novice at Newcastle (1m, 11/2) on debut 29 days ago, badly hampered under 2f out. This St Mark's Basilica filly seems sure to do better. Big shout.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 02/10/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 1m5y Std 1282/104
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02NewcastleJason Hart42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 50/100
▲ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength91%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/10/20262nd11/271%80%+0.09