3

Espressona Signora

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 5

Southwell · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 13y

#8

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

125/1, never-dangerous fifth of 8 in maiden at Kempton (1m) on debut 19 days ago. This Roseman filly needs to take a big step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Kempton 12/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 1m Sta 12812/104
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-12KemptonLaura Pearson45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-8 · tight 50/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength21%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20265th125/10%43%+0.43