6

Maneuver

3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 1

Southwell · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 13y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/3

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sea The Stars filly who briefly looked in control before fading into third in an Ascot maiden (1m) in September 2025. 3/1, unseated rider at the start in novice at Newcastle (1m) on belated return 29 days ago. Should still improve.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Kempton 13/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f Sta 12813/0854 @ Ascot 05/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 7f213y Sft 1285/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-02NewcastleR Havlin40
2025-09-05AscotOisin Murphy43rd3rd0
2025-08-13KemptonOisin Murphy52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 4-4 · tight 71/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -4.4% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/08/20252nd4/696%88%-0.09
05/09/20253rd5/493%80%-0.13