9
Tilsworth Emma
3yo Filly · 9-2 · Draw 8
Southwell · AW Trials Day - Lingfield 2nd Jan 2027 Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 1m 13y
#9
Rank
Odds
100/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-05 | Yarmouth | Oliver Carmichael | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Kempton | Jonny Peate | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -16.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 300/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 05/10/2026 | 5th | 200/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |