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5

Ozat

5yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 7 · OR 93

Southwell · Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap · 1m 13y

#10

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Useful multiple winner in his native France. Has dropped in the weights and shaped well a couple of times for current connections, notably when third at Ascot in August but followed a below-par effort with an even worse one at York last time and has something to prove on tapeta debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARK
Move▬
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 10.9 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Strasbourg 11/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 127 · HIGHER CLASS11/11C12 @ Newbury 18/04/2026 · Pos 19th of 24 · OR 103 · 1m Goo 136 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 103 par2 @ Epsom Downs 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR 100 · 1m113y Goo 138 · beat its mark05/06/2026 · OR 100 par5/062OR 1002 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 28 · OR 100 · 1m GF 128 · beat its mark17/06/2026 · OR 100 par2 @ Sandown 04/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 99 · 1m Goo 127 · below its mark04/07/2026 · OR 99 par4/072OR 992 @ Goodwood 31/07/2026 · Pos 15th of 18 · OR 99 · 1m Goo 132 · below its mark31/07/2026 · OR 99 par2 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 97 · 7f213y GF 132 · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 97 par8/082OR 972 @ Ascot 04/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 97 · 1m Goo 133 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 97 par3 @ York 09/10/2026 · Pos 17th of 17 · OR 95 · 7f192y Goo 135 · below its mark09/10/2026 · OR 95 par9/103OR 95projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-09YorkS De Sousa317th18th−1
2026-09-04AscotJames Doyle27th7th0
2026-08-08AscotR L Moore23rd3rd0
2026-07-31GoodwoodBilly Loughnane215th15th0
2026-07-04SandownJ P Spencer214th14th0
2026-06-17Royal AscotCieren Fallon28th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/1117/068/089/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · tight 70/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/11/20258th12/137%0%-0.37
18/04/202619th80/10%22%+0.22
05/06/202610th66/10%47%+0.47
17/06/20268th125/10%74%+0.74
04/07/202614th25/10%0%0.00
31/07/202615th18/15%18%+0.12
08/08/20263rd7/282%78%-0.04
04/09/20267th11/142%50%+0.08
09/10/202617th14/126%0%-0.26