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3

Portcullis

3yo Colt · 9-5 · Draw 3 · OR 97

Southwell · Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap · 1m 13y

#6

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Frankel colt who overcame greenness to make an impressive winning start to his career in the Wood Ditton at Newmarket (1m), pushed out to score by 5½ lengths. Workmanlike when defying a penalty in a muddling race at York (1m) a month later and remains open to significant improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARK
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 1.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.0
Today: 2
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Newmarket 16/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m Gd 13316/0422 @ York 15/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 7f192y Gd 13515/052projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-15YorkW Buick21st1st0
2026-04-16NewmarketR L Moore21st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0415/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 5-5 · tight 71/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -31.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
15/05/20261st1/195%100%+0.05