10
Princling
3yo Gelding · 8-12 · Draw 9 · OR 90
Southwell · Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap · 1m 13y
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▲1
Strength19%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Ascot | Tom Marquand | 3 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Newmarket | Tom Marquand | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Royal Ascot | Tom Marquand | 2 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Carlisle | Tom Marquand | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Wetherby | Tom Marquand | 4 | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-10-31 | Newmarket | Cieren Fallon | 4 | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · tight 62/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength4%
Delivery trend -12.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 91% | +0.49 |
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 93% | +0.06 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 77% | -0.13 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 02/10/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |