6

Whitcombe Rockstar

7yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 92

Southwell · Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap · 1m 13y

#8

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Serious operator at Kempton having won 7 times and also ran a cracker there (11f) when second in strong race in March. Shaped as if he'd sharpen up for his first run in 10 weeks when fourth there in early-September but it is possible this is a pipe-opener back at 1m.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength37%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Lingfield 15/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 88 · 1m2f Std 125 · beat its mark15/12/2025 · OR 88 par15/122OR 883 @ Wolverhampton 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m1f104y Std 137 · beat its mark26/12/2025 · OR 88 par4 @ Wolverhampton 16/01/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 86 · 1m142y Std 139 · beat its mark16/01/2026 · OR 86 par16/014OR 862 @ Kempton 28/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 86 · 1m2f219y 123 · beat its mark28/01/2026 · OR 86 par3 @ Kempton 02/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 88 · 1m3f219y Sta 131 · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 88 par2/033OR 882 @ Kempton 28/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 93 · 1m2f219y Sta 126 · beat its mark28/03/2026 · OR 93 par3 @ Sandown 12/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 86 · 1m1f209y Gd 131 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 86 par12/063OR 862 @ Newcastle 25/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 94 · 1m2f42y Sta 131 · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 94 par3 @ Kempton 05/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 93 · 1m3f219y Sta 133 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 93 par5/093OR 93projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05KemptonJosephine Gordon34th5th−1
2026-06-25NewcastleJosephine Gordon24th4th0
2026-06-12SandownJosephine Gordon313th14th−1
2026-03-28KemptonDaniel Muscutt22nd2nd0
2026-03-02KemptonDaniel Muscutt31st2nd−1
2026-01-28KemptonTyler Heard21st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/1228/0112/065/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-7 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength72%

Delivery trend +9.9% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/12/20256th3/184%0%-0.84
26/12/20254th8/158%50%-0.08
16/01/20265th6/168%50%-0.18
28/01/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
02/03/20261st11/271%100%+0.29
28/03/20262nd7/282%92%+0.10
12/06/202613th25/10%8%+0.08
25/06/20264th25/10%63%+0.63
05/09/20264th15/261%70%+0.09