
Whitcombe Rockstar
7yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 5 · OR 92
Southwell · Midnite Ain't Your Grandad's Bookie Handicap · 1m 13y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Kempton | Josephine Gordon | 3 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Newcastle | Josephine Gordon | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Sandown | Josephine Gordon | 3 | 13th | 14th | −1 |
| 2026-03-28 | Kempton | Daniel Muscutt | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-02 | Kempton | Daniel Muscutt | 3 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Kempton | Tyler Heard | 2 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +9.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/12/2025 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 26/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 28/01/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 28/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.10 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 25/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |