Another Abbot
4yo Gelding · 9-7 · Draw 7 · OR 89
Southwell · Make The Move To Midnite Handicap · 6f 16y
#9
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-02 | Ascot | Tom Marquand | 2 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | Harry Davies | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Windsor | Tom Marquand | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-27 | Windsor | P J Dobbs | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Ascot | Darragh Keenan | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Salisbury | Tom Marquand | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 57% | -0.14 |
| 01/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 30/06/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 53% | -0.15 |
| 17/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 88% | +0.35 |
| 02/10/2026 | 16th | 18/1 | 5% | 12% | +0.07 |