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6

Bolo Neighs

4yo Gelding · 9-8 · Draw 11 · OR 90

Southwell · Make The Move To Midnite Handicap · 6f 16y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

14%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

In good form at Ascot this season, winning there off this mark in May before solid third in July. Shaped well back on all-weather and in a change of headgear (blinkers) when beaten under a length at Kempton last time, left poorly placed having been dropped out from a wide draw.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.2
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Kempton 11/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 92 · 6f Sta 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark11/02/2026 · OR 92 par11/022OR 923 @ Ascot 08/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 90 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark08/05/2026 · OR 90 par3 @ Chester 13/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 94 · 6f17y Goo 135 · below its mark13/06/2026 · OR 94 par13/063OR 942 @ Windsor 29/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 94 · 6f12y GF 136 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/06/2026 · OR 94 par3 @ Ascot 10/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 94 · 6f GF 141 · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 94 par10/073OR 942 @ Ascot 25/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR 93 · 5f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 93 par2 @ Ascot 08/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 93 · 5f GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/08/2026 · OR 93 par8/082OR 932 @ Ascot 02/10/2026 · Pos 17th of 18 · OR 92 · 6f Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2026 · OR 92 par2 @ Kempton 14/10/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 90 · 6f Sta 136 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/10/2026 · OR 90 par14/102OR 90projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-14KemptonJack Dace24th3rd+1
2026-10-02AscotRossa Ryan217th16th+1
2026-08-08AscotC P Lemaire25th4th+1
2026-07-25AscotSaffie Osborne26th5th+1
2026-07-10AscotHarry Vigors33rd3rd0
2026-06-29WindsorRossa Ryan29th8th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0229/068/0814/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 1-13 · tight 34/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▬
Strength79%

Delivery trend -0.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/02/20266th18/15%38%+0.32
08/05/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
13/06/20268th10/382%22%-0.60
29/06/20269th11/142%11%-0.31
10/07/20263rd22/10%80%+0.80
25/07/20266th6/168%58%-0.10
08/08/20265th9/276%56%-0.21
02/10/202617th11/142%6%-0.36
14/10/20264th33/10%70%+0.70