Kind Touch
3yo Gelding · 9-4 · Draw 10 · OR 87
Southwell · Make The Move To Midnite Handicap · 6f 16y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Wolverhampton | O J Orr | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-26 | Ripon | Cam Hardie | 2 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-09-01 | Ripon | O J Orr | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Chester | Harry Russell | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-13 | York | Cam Hardie | 2 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2026-06-06 | Musselburgh | O J Orr | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 18/09/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 06/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 13/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 11/07/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 40% | -0.50 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 89% | +0.15 |
| 26/09/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 19/10/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |