Purosangue
5yo Gelding · 9-3 · Draw 1 · OR 85
Southwell · Make The Move To Midnite Handicap · 6f 16y
#14
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-19 | Wolverhampton | J Mitchell | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-09-17 | Yarmouth | J Mitchell | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Goodwood | K Shoemark | 2 | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Hamilton | Kaiya Fraser | 2 | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Newcastle | Jason Hart | 2 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Newbury | J Mitchell | 2 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 12th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/09/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 04/10/2025 | 10th | 14/1 | 26% | 36% | +0.09 |
| 07/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 16/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 69% | +0.09 |
| 01/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 30% | -0.28 |
| 30/08/2026 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 11% | -0.44 |
| 17/09/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 19/10/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.16 |