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3

Midnight Call

5yo Mare · 9-7 · Draw 1 · OR 63

Southwell · Midnite A Next Generation Betting App Handicap · 4f 214y

#5

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Free-going sort whose 6 career wins have all come at Wolverhampton, including 5 this year. Respectable fifth of 14 to Hi Lord in handicap at Bath (5f, good) 23 days ago. Not out of things.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARK
Move▬
Strength53%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Wolverhampton 23/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 56 · 6f20y Std 132 · beat its mark23/02/2026 · OR 56 par23/026OR 566 @ Wolverhampton 23/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 55 · 6f20y Std 135 · beat its mark23/03/2026 · OR 55 par6 @ Wolverhampton 09/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 54 · 5f21y Std 135 · beat its mark09/04/2026 · OR 54 par9/046OR 545 @ Wolverhampton 21/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 63 · 5f21y Std 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/04/2026 · OR 63 par5 @ Wolverhampton 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 62 · 5f21y Std 134 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 62 par18/055OR 625 @ Goodwood 05/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 66 · 6f Goo 134 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark05/06/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Wolverhampton 07/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 65 · 5f21y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark07/09/2026 · OR 65 par7/095OR 656 @ Wolverhampton 21/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 65 · 6f20y Std 136 · below its mark21/09/2026 · OR 65 par6 @ Bath 08/10/2026 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 65 · 5f10y Gd 135 · beat its mark08/10/2026 · OR 65 par8/106OR 65projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-10-08BathRossa Ryan65th5th0
2026-09-21WolverhamptonGina Mangan67th7th0
2026-09-07WolverhamptonJack Doughty52nd1st+1
2026-06-05GoodwoodJack Dace510th9th+1
2026-05-18WolverhamptonHollie Doyle51st0th+1
2026-04-21WolverhamptonJoanna Mason54th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0221/047/098/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 68/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +3.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/02/20265th11/142%56%+0.13
23/03/20265th7/282%50%-0.32
09/04/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
21/04/20264th13/266%50%-0.16
18/05/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
05/06/202610th18/15%0%-0.05
07/09/20262nd7/163%88%+0.24
21/09/20267th16/116%33%+0.18
08/10/20265th9/153%69%+0.17