Spirit Of Jura
4yo Filly · 10-2 · Draw 4 · OR 75
Southwell · Midnite: Built For 2026 Not 2006 Apprentice Handicap · 1m 6f 21y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | Southwell | Connor Beasley | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-09-02 | Bath | Callum Shepherd | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-17 | Hamilton | Jason Hart | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Hamilton | Connor Beasley | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Ripon | Oliver Stammers | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | Rossa Ryan | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 38% | +0.22 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 08/04/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 26/04/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 0% | -0.87 |
| 17/07/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/10/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |