5
Some Good Men Gone
4yo Gelding · 10-13
Wetherby · 6 Horses Challenge At bet365 Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) · 2m
#6
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 13.5 /10 (raw 8.1)
Highest class: BHA67
Recent avg: C7.4
Today: 3
Class gap: -4.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Navan | Sam Coen | BHA67 | 22th | 26th | −4 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | Mr A Coonan | BHA68 | 8th | 13th | −4 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gowran Park | Andrew Slattery | ? | 8th | 14th | −5 |
| 2025-08-13 | Gowran Park | Andrew Slattery | ? | 4th | 10th | −5 |
| 2025-08-04 | Naas | Andrew Slattery | BHA70 | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2025-07-12 | Limerick | Declan McDonogh | ? | 5th | 11th | −5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · tight 63/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 23/06/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/07/2025 | 5th | 100/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 04/08/2025 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 13/08/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 20/09/2025 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 53% | +0.06 |
| 15/04/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 25/04/2026 | 22nd | 28/1 | 0% | 5% | +0.05 |