3
Geryville
10yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 120
Wetherby · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Newcastle | Alice Stevens | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wetherby | C O'Farrell | 4 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Wetherby | B S Hughes | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-26 | Wetherby | Callum Bewley | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Wetherby | Callum Bewley | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-11-15 | Wetherby | B S Hughes | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · tight 32/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▬
Strength33%
Delivery trend -1.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 19/04/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 06/12/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 26/12/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 22/01/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 17/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |
| 11/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |