6

Kahavari
6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 118
Wetherby · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Sandown | Jack Tudor | 2 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-04-02 | Kelso | R T Dunne | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-08 | Carlisle | Craig Nichol | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-10 | Ayr | Craig Nichol | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-01-22 | Huntingdon | Craig Nichol | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-30 | Haydock | Craig Nichol | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength84%
Delivery trend +2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/02/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 86% | +0.17 |
| 24/04/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 88% | +0.06 |
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 30/12/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 22/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |
| 10/02/2026 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 20% | -0.64 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 02/04/2026 | 2nd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 25/04/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |