6

Kahavari

6yo Gelding · 11-3 · OR 118

Wetherby · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y

#5

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair 19f winner over hurdles in France. Gained a deserved first chasing success (second 3 times previously) for present yard in 4-runner handicap chase at Sandown (2½m, good to firm) in April. Off since and yard yet to get going but Cobden is an interesting booking.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.5
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Carlisle 17/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 118 · 2m1f Goo 161 · below its mark17/02/2025 · OR 118 par17/024OR 1184 @ Bangor-on-Dee 24/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 118 · 2m3f123y Goo 166 · below its mark24/04/2025 · OR 118 par4 @ Bangor-on-Dee 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 115 · 2m1f77y Hvy 166 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 115 par29/114OR 1153 @ Haydock 30/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 111 · 2m3f203y Goo 152 · below its mark30/12/2025 · OR 111 par4 @ Huntingdon 22/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 109 · 2m104y Sft 167 · below its mark22/01/2026 · OR 109 par22/014OR 1094 @ Ayr 10/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 111 · 2m110y Sft 159 · below its mark10/02/2026 · OR 111 par4 @ Carlisle 08/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 4 · OR 111 · 2m4f198y Goo 161 · below its mark08/03/2026 · OR 111 par8/034OR 1114 @ Kelso 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 112 · 2m7f96y Goo 170 · below its mark02/04/2026 · OR 112 par2 @ Sandown 25/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 115 · 2m4f15y Goo 144 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 115 par25/042OR 115projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-25SandownJack Tudor21st0th+1
2026-04-02KelsoR T Dunne42nd3rd−1
2026-03-08CarlisleCraig Nichol42nd3rd−1
2026-02-10AyrCraig Nichol45th6th−1
2026-01-22HuntingdonCraig Nichol42nd3rd−1
2025-12-30HaydockCraig Nichol34th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0230/128/0325/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-5 · tight 64/100
▼ SLIPPING
Trend▲
Strength84%

Delivery trend +2.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/02/20252nd6/168%86%+0.17
24/04/20252nd7/282%88%+0.06
29/11/20256th5/174%17%-0.57
30/12/20254th15/261%40%-0.21
22/01/20262nd6/168%80%+0.12
10/02/20265th3/184%20%-0.64
08/03/20262nd13/266%67%+0.01
02/04/20262nd17/255%86%+0.30
25/04/20261st3/184%100%+0.16