7
Koukeo
6yo Gelding · 11-2 · OR 117
Wetherby · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#8
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-15 | Fontwell | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 4 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Ayr | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-21 | Newbury | R P McLernon | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Newbury | K Brogan | 1 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-02-01 | Musselburgh | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Haydock | Jonjo O'Neill Jr. | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 4-8 · tight 64/100
▼ UNDER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -6.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2025 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 64% | +0.17 |
| 02/04/2025 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |
| 24/04/2025 | 8th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 01/01/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 17/01/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 01/02/2026 | 3rd | 1/1 | 95% | 50% | -0.45 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 21/03/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 15/10/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |