2

Ladronne

12yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 120

Wetherby · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Managed to win 4 handicaps over fences since February 2025 despite his advancing years. Runner-up both chase starts in 2026 but needed the run in last season's renewal and this trip is on the sharp side.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Sedgefield 11/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 4 · OR 101 · 3m2f59y Goo 168 · beat its mark11/03/2025 · OR 101 par11/034OR 1013 @ Wetherby 01/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 112 · 2m3f85y Gd 155 · below its mark01/11/2025 · OR 112 par4 @ Sedgefield 24/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 110 · 2m5f28y Sft 168 · beat its mark24/11/2025 · OR 110 par24/114OR 1104 @ Doncaster 12/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 115 · 2m7f214y Goo 156 · below its mark12/12/2025 · OR 115 par3 @ Doncaster 29/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 115 · 2m7f214y Goo 156 · below its mark29/12/2025 · OR 115 par29/123OR 1154 @ Catterick 21/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 114 · 3m1f54y GS 164 · beat its mark21/01/2026 · OR 114 par3 @ Doncaster 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 118 · 2m7f214y GS 161 · below its mark27/02/2026 · OR 118 par27/023OR 1184 @ Wetherby 17/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 110 · 3m26y Goo 158 · below its mark17/03/2026 · OR 110 par4 @ Market Rasen 14/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 118 · 2m7f191y Gd 166 · below its mark14/04/2026 · OR 118 par14/044OR 118projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-14Market RasenMiss Venetia Thompson42nd3rd−1
2026-03-17WetherbyOscar Palmer45th6th−1
2026-02-27DoncasterJack Power32nd2nd0
2026-01-21CatterickOscar Palmer41st2nd−1
2025-12-29DoncasterPeter Kavanagh34th4th0
2025-12-12DoncasterJack Power42nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0312/1227/0214/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 90/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
01/11/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
24/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
12/12/20252nd11/486%80%-0.06
29/12/20254th8/158%50%-0.08
21/01/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
27/02/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
17/03/20265th11/271%56%-0.15
14/04/20262nd7/282%80%-0.02