2

Ladronne
12yo Gelding · 11-5 · OR 120
Wetherby · Position Payout At bet365 Handicap Chase (GBB Race) · 2m 3f 85y
#2
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Jockey | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | Market Rasen | Miss Venetia Thompson | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Wetherby | Oscar Palmer | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2026-02-27 | Doncaster | Jack Power | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-21 | Catterick | Oscar Palmer | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-29 | Doncaster | Peter Kavanagh | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Doncaster | Jack Power | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 8-8 · tight 90/100
▬ RUNS TO FORM
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 01/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 24/11/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 80% | -0.06 |
| 29/12/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 88% | +0.16 |
| 17/03/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 14/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |