4

St Irene

6yo Mare · 11-2 · OR 123

Wetherby · bet365 Montagu Mares' Hurdle (Listed) (GBB Race) · 2m

#2

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#2

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fair bumper performer. Underlined a promising start to her hurdling career when completing a double in a listed novice at Taunton over Christmas. Off since being outclassed in the Grade 2 Dawn Run at the Cheltenham Festival, and she may again find this too competitive.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKED
Move▬
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 8.4 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today: 1
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Southwell 14/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m7f182y Goo 14314/0551 @ Cheltenham 16/11/2024 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 2m87y Goo 1561 @ Huntingdon 08/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m7f171y Sft 1568/1211 @ Aintree 03/04/2025 · Pos 17th of 20 · OR 110 · 2m209y Goo 156 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/04/2025 · OR 110 par2 @ Newbury 06/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 2m69y GS 1546/1124 @ Wincanton 20/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m7f50y Gd 1581 @ Taunton 30/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 116 · 2m104y Gd 158 · beat its mark30/12/2025 · OR 116 par30/121OR 1161 @ Cheltenham 12/03/2026 · Pos 21st of 22 · OR 123 · 2m179y Goo 158 · below its mark12/03/2026 · OR 123 par12/031OR 123projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseJockeyClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-12CheltenhamJ M Quinlan121th21th−0
2025-12-30TauntonJ M Quinlan11st1st−0
2025-11-20WincantonJ M Quinlan41st5th−3
2025-11-06NewburyJ M Quinlan22nd3rd−1
2025-04-03AintreeJ M Quinlan117th17th+0
2024-12-08HuntingdonJ M Quinlan13rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/053/0430/1212/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-4 · tight 57/100
▬ OVER-DELIVERING
Trend▼
Strength60%

Delivery trend -2.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 4. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20241st8/158%100%+0.42
16/11/20246th17/255%55%-0.01
08/12/20243rd17/255%71%+0.16
03/04/202517th28/10%16%+0.16
06/11/20252nd40/10%92%+0.92
20/11/20251st4/998%100%+0.02
30/12/20251st6/492%100%+0.08
12/03/202621st100/10%5%+0.05